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Constituent Assembly Election Results Map as of November 22, 2013, 4PM

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As of November 22, 2013, by 4:pm The counting of the votes, from the Constituent Assembly Election held on November 19, 2013, have shows that out of 240 seats, the winning parties and candidates for 93 seats have been declared. There are only 3 women candidates elected so far. The below map shows the spatial patterns of political parties winning the CA seats. The NC and UML have 40 seats each. UCPN (Maoist) has won 8 seats. Download the map for viewing the results on your own.

NASA's products point towards heavy rains on 7th July, in the Far-west Nepal and North India

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I have been following the products published by NASA - TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission). It appears like these products are really experimental. They are on higher sides of estimations. The rains are less frequent and less intense than what is mapped and communicated. Let us see for the data 7th July in the image below: Clearly, the Ghaghra and Tista and Mahananda rivers will swell affecting in many parts in India. The pink color is clearly 250 mm rain which is concentrated in the Mahakali/Sharada and Karnali/Ghaghra in the western part of Nepal and on Mahananda/Mahakali, Tista and some Brahmaputra basin in Assam. NASA has clearly said these are experimental products. We should see how close they are with the real rainfall. We do not measure, we just compare from the news.

Rainfall Update: More flooding expected coming days

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Rainfall Update: More flooding expected coming days Please see the visualization of rainfall intensities in the form of maps in the following pages.  The colored patches are the areas where heavy rainfall occurred in the past and is expected in the coming week. The red colored areas are where minimum rains and the purple ones are the areas where maximum rains occurred. You will see two kinds of maps (a) forecast for June 19, and June 22 and (b) trend of rainfall that caused heavy floods in western Nepal and North India. Scientists have found that if the rainfall exceeds 144mm in a day, the likelihood of landslides increase unexpectedly in Nepal. The   forecast shows rains will exceed the range of 200mm. So, more landslides to be expected. More loss of lives and property, sad news. 1. Forectasts Forecast for June 19, 2013 This is rainfall prediction for June 19, UTC 1200. Heavy rains expected in the region of the range min 100 mm to max of 250mm for June 19 at about 1200 UTC.

Constituency Map of Kathmandu District and valley

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The 2008 Constituent Assembly Electoral District Maps of Kathmandu district and Kathmandu valley: Kathmandu had 10 constituencies. It is likely that the 2013 CA election will have 16 Constituencies in Kthmandu. Kathmandu valley Constituencies. Kathmandu valley has 4 districts: Kabhre, Kathmandu, Lalitpur and Bhaktapur.

Preliminary Analysis of Constituencies: Which districts gain and which districts loose?

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As per constitution of Nepal, after a census is taken the constituency areas will be re-delimitted. Census of Nepal 2011 taken by Government of Nepal's Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) has been published. On comparison of data between Census 2001 and Censu 2011, the following information is gleaned: 1. Total 48 districts had increase in population. The blue color on the map shows these districts. 2. Total 27 districts saw decrease in population. The red colored districts on the map. 2001 Population: 23,151,423 2011 population: 26,494,504. See the pattern of decreasing population trend: See the pattern of increasing population trend below: The pattern of gain and loss in the number of constituencies appears to be as given below: I will update on the changes and new findings in future blogs. Thank you

Nepal Constituent Assembly (CA) election date announced for 19 Nov 2013

Government of Nepal announced Constituent Assembly Election date as November 19, 2013 (BS Mungsheer 4, 2070). See the link here. RAM KUMAR KAMAT KATHMANDU: Putting an end to the long-drawn-out period of uncertainty, the government today decided to hold Constituent Assembly election on November 19. A Cabinet meeting took a call on the poll date after sorting out all contentious issues related to election laws. The government endorsed the Election to the Constituent Assembly Ordinance and forwarded it to the Office of the President for the seal of approval, said Minister for Information and Communications Madhav Prasad Poudel. The Election Commission-proposed threshold provision, much-debated by four major forces at their innumerable High Level Political Committee meetings, has been removed, in an apparent bid to appease the fringe parties. The government, however, has upheld EC’s proposal on eligibility criteria for CA candidature. “A person convicted of heinous crime by a c